Don’t Write Off Shares Just Yet

Some investors have a different view on stockmarket downturns. They see the low stock prices as an opportunity to buy a good deal.

During times of market change, it is our natural instinct to guard our assets and distance ourselves from risk. While this reaction is not surprising, it can also mean missing out on profit opportunities created during volatile periods.

Warren Buffet, one of the world’s best professional investors, sees market slumps from another viewpoint, saying “Look at market swings as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it.”

Generally when we see a lower price for something we want we rush in for a bargain, however it can be quite the opposite with shares. Why is it that we treat shares that have dropped in price with dread? Share prices of a listed firm can drop for a number of factors.

Lately we have seen the stock prices of a number of strong companies with healthy balance sheets be negatively affected due to a rush to sell as a result of the economic crisis.

Despite the difficult share trading environment, professional investors are always checking the market for buying opportunities. Many fund managers are searching to find stocks in sound companies with strong balance sheets and returns. For example Australian companies such as household names like David Jones have delivered strong profits after tax and dividends in 2008. However during 2008, David Jones’ share price fell by more than 30%.

Identifying opportunities
Not all companies will be affected by the global economic crisis similarly. Some industries are more susceptible to the economic cycle than others.

Providers of basic goods and services continue on almost unabated, for example we all need to eat - so food producers aren’t as affected as much as manufacturing, retail or luxury goods.

Australia’s population growth is at a 20 year high and growing at 1.7% per year. Australia’s growing population provides increasing demand for goods and services as people need food, housing, cars, etc. Unlike many overseas countries, Australia benefits from two key factors: a high population growth rate and a high demand for houses.

Population growth is nearly double that of the US while Germany has negative population growth. In the US there is an over-supply of housing while Australia suffers from a lack of supply. The combination of limited housing and a rising population will create growing demand for housing which will support further building and provide opportunities for the construction industry.

The value of companies
Many people view businesses with falling share prices with fear, but we need to take a look under the hood of these companies to find out why. Have they borrowed heavily?

What industry are they in? Are they competitive against their peers? Only by answering these questions, can we know if their stock price has fallen for valid reasons or if the company is indeed on sale.

When investing, many fund managers look for firms with high and maintainable dividends, strong balance sheets and ongoing cash flow. These companies are more likely to outlive the volatility storm and may give you a greater return when the market moves into the next phase of recovery and
beyond.

Before you consider changing your investment, you should see a professional. Having a financial planner and a long-term financial plan can give you confidence to manage the effects of market cycles. With the right advice you can ensure your investments are tailored to your risk profile and time horizon, giving you the certainty of knowing you’re doing what’s right for you. This article brought to you by a Brisbane business consultant who offers sales training and a web site designer brisbane. Distribution by seo packages. BS1004